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June 19, 1997

Teal Group/Arran Aerospace Independent Study Reveals $2.7-Billion Military Piston Trainer Market

Paris (June 19, 1997) -- The world's first independent market intelligence study on single-engined military piston trainer aircraft reveals a potential $2.7 billion market opening up over the next ten years.

The Teal Group-Arran Aerospace World Military Piston Trainers Study 1997 was officially launched at the June 1997 Paris Air Show. It anticipates the result later this year of the current U.K. Royal Air Force Bulldog replacement competition; which is expected to spark an international round of military piston trainer upgrade and replacement programs.

The study shows there are some 5,995 piston single trainers in worldwide military inventories today, most of which date from the 1950s or 1960s and are increasingly regarded as unsuitable as ab-initio lead-ins to the sophisticated and high-performance front-line fighters now entering service.

Among the study's conclusions: some 4,425 of these trainers will need to be replaced or upgraded over the next ten years, generating a piston-aircraft market worth at least $2.7 billion.

"Western manufacturers need to watch out," said Study Director Doug McVitie of Arran Aerospace, "because there is clear evidence that new potential competitors could pose a major threat."

The study reveals details of hitherto unreported requirements for new military piston trainer programs. In Russia, a new Air Force basic training requirement has led to contenders being offered by Sukhoi (Su-49), Technoavia (SP-95) and Yakovlev (Yak-52M and Yak-55).

In the Asia-Pacific region too, there is considerable military piston trainer design and pre-production activity taking place in Malaysia, Taiwan, Japan, Indonesia, South Korea, Australia, and China, underlining a strong international interest in the future of this underdeveloped market segment.

McVitie continued, "What this study reveals for the first time is the potential scale of the market that is opening up."

The World Military Piston Trainers Study 1997 analyzes 150 countries in depth. It comes complete with extensive data and forecasts on Microsoft Excel-formatted diskettes including all country-by-country trainer inventory, production, market share and 10-year forecast numbers.

For further study details, fax Doug McVitie, in Scotland, 44-1770-30-21-88, Arran Aerospace, David Dorman in the U.K., 44-1582-48-84-47, or Tim Storey, Teal Group, in the U.S., 703-691-9591


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